by Michael
Things weren’t speculated to move this quickly. Just hours after First Republic was dissected, two more major banks are in very serious trouble. Are the dominoes going to begin to fall more quickly than we were anticipating? After his bank devoured up First Republic, Jamie Dimon told the world that “this a part of the crisis is over”, and plenty of in the company media believed him. Unfortunately, Wall Street isn’t buying it. On Tuesday, “fears around contagion within the regional banking sector” pushed stock prices significantly lower…
Stocks tumbled on Tuesday as traders’ fears around contagion within the regional banking sector returned ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 367.17 points, or 1.08%, to finish at 33,684.53. The S&P 500 slid 1.16% and closed at 4,119.58. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.08%, ending the session at 12,080.51. The three major averages fell for a second consecutive session.
Many regional banks got hit really hard, and that features two institutions that analysts have already been watching very closely…
Regional bank stocks fell sharply Tuesday because the fallout from the third major bank failure this 12 months continued to place pressure on the sector.
Shares of PacWest fell nearly 28% on Tuesday and was on the right track for its fourth-straight negative session. The stock was halted for volatility multiple times.
The California-based bank was not the one regional lender under pressure. Shares of Western Alliance dropped 15%.
In the event that they need to halt trading for a specific stock several times in a single day, that could be a really bad sign.
Like First Republic, PacWest and Western Alliance each experienced tremendous deposit outflows because of this of the bank runs that happened through the first quarter…
PacWest and Western Alliance were also among the many financial institutions, together with First Republic, that got here under intense scrutiny following the March 10 and March 12 failures of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank.
Each lenders, like First Republic, lost a large amount of deposits through the first quarter as customers sought the perceived safety of larger banks or higher yields being offered by money market funds. PacWest, a lender based in Beverly Hills, Calif., lost 17% of its deposits and Phoenix-based Western Alliance lost 11%, while First Republic lost 41%.
Each institutions at the moment are highly vulnerable, and as Dick Bove has aptly noted, those who have made massive amounts of cash from recent bank failures are trying to find their next victim…
“People made an enormous amount of cash,” he said. “Those individuals who have driven SVB out of business, who benefitted from the Signature failure, who benefitted from the First Republic slow die, they made a whole lot of money.
“They’re looking around to seek out one other goal.”
In fact PacWest and Western Alliance should not the one potential targets.
In truth, one news source is claiming that “half of America’s bank are potentially insolvent” at this point.
We actually are within the early stages of the following major financial crisis.
And will it’s possible that even a few of our largest financial institutions are starting to point out signs of trouble?
Earlier today, I used to be quite alarmed to learn that Morgan Stanley is planning to eliminate roughly 3,000 jobs…
Morgan Stanley is preparing a fresh round of job cuts amid a renewed concentrate on expenses as recession fears delay a rebound in dealmaking.
Senior managers are discussing plans to eliminate about 3,000 jobs from the worldwide workforce by the tip of this quarter, in keeping with individuals with knowledge of the matter. That might amount to roughly 5% of staff excluding financial advisers and personnel supporting them inside the wealth management division.
The health of the banking industry is of great concern for all of us, since the banks are the core of our financial system.
Straight away, banks are beginning to get really tight with their lending, and in order that goes to mean less money is obtainable for consumers and businesses. At this stage, even the Washington Post is talking about how tight lending standards have turn out to be…
Janna Rodriguez has big goals for her home-based child-care center. She desires to grow Progressive Daycare to serve more low-income families in Freeport, N.Y., but first, she needs a bank to loan her between $2 million and $4 million to assist her move right into a larger space and expand her hours.
Thus far, she keeps hearing “no.” Midsize banks near her in Long Island don’t wish to take bets on the child-care industry, which has been hit hard by the pandemic, Rodriguez said. She’s felt lenders pull back much more for the reason that March shock to the banking system. If she will’t expand, she’ll have to think about shutting the business down because otherwise, she just can’t see getting by.
And this isn’t just happening in the US.
According to Zero Hedge, global lending standards haven’t been this tight for the reason that collapse of Lehman Brothers…
A composite measure of DM banks’ lending standards shows they’re the tightest since 2009. Tighter credit conditions might be an impediment to central banks’ preference to maintain rates “higher for longer.”
The ECB’s bank lending survey was released this morning, with banks further tightening their credit standards.
This has pushed an aggregate measure of bank-loan credit standards to levels not seen for the reason that Lehman crisis.
When banks get into trouble, they don’t have an appetite for taking risks.
Sadly, it is probably going that banks might be very hesitant to make loans for the foreseeable future.
So this can greatly depress economic activity.
In such an environment, it might be absolutely insane to lift rates of interest, but that’s what officials on the Fed have decided to do anyway.
What this implies is that more dominoes will fall, and the crisis that we’ve got entered will get an entire lot worse.
Let’s keep a detailed eye on PacWest and Western Alliance.
But they won’t be the one institutions that struggle for survival in the times ahead.
There’s blood within the water, and the sharks are circling.