Ethereum (ETH) has been underperforming on this cycle, trailing far behind Bitcoin’s impressive rally to recent all-time highs. While Bitcoin captures headlines with its continued surge, ETH struggles to reclaim its yearly highs, leaving many investors questioning its next move.
Despite the lackluster price motion, data from CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju reveals a silver lining for ETH holders. In line with Ju, many ETH investors are enduring unrealized losses, paying homage to ETH’s early 2020 bottom before its explosive bull run. This means that the present market conditions might offer a novel opportunity for long-term ETH investors.
Ju’s evaluation highlights that substantial price recoveries have historically followed such phases of unrealized losses. If Ethereum starts to realize momentum and shut the gap with Bitcoin, the potential gains could possibly be massive. For investors, this might mark the start of an upward trend, rewarding those that remain patient during this era of consolidation.
With market sentiment shifting and historical data supporting a bullish case, ETH’s next move could possibly be pivotal. Investors and analysts closely watch ETH’s price motion, hoping for signs of a breakout that might reignite its momentum and deliver significant returns.
Last Likelihood To Buy Ethereum?
Despite Ethereum’s underwhelming performance this cycle, there are signs of bullish price motion in recent weeks. ETH has remained relatively stagnant in comparison with Bitcoin’s meteoric rise. Nevertheless, optimistic signals suggest this could possibly be the last opportunity to build up ETH at discounted prices before it starts its ascent toward recent highs.
Critical data from CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju sheds light on an interesting development: the ETH-BTC NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) has reached a 4-year low. This means that, despite Ethereum’s lagging performance against Bitcoin, many ETH holders are enduring unrealized losses.
This mirrors Ethereum’s early 2020 bottom situation, just before it began its explosive rally. Ju believes that this era of underperformance might present a chance for long-term ETH investors, because it could set the stage for a possible surge.
Nevertheless, Ju also notes that Ethereum’s future heavily is determined by the revenue generated by Web3 applications, particularly through stablecoins. While the ecosystem stays promising, it also feels heavily leveraged, and the problem of sustainable growth through Web3 app revenue doesn’t seem more likely to resolve anytime soon.
Over a one-year timeframe, Ju finds ETH less appealing than BTC, although regulatory clarity in the longer term could change the dynamics and enhance Ethereum’s appeal. For now, this era of consolidation presents a critical moment for ETH believers to position themselves before any significant price movements.
ETH Testing Crucial Demand
Ethereum is testing crucial demand above the $3,000 level, trading at $3,120 after several days of sideways consolidation below its local high at $3,446. This consolidation suggests that ETH is preparing for a possible breakout, especially with its recent surge above the important thing 200-day moving average at $2,957. Holding above this key support level is critical for maintaining bullish momentum.
If Ethereum stays above the 200-day moving average and continues its upward trajectory, the following major resistance zone will likely be the local high at $3,446. A successful breakout above this level could pave the way in which for ETH to challenge its yearly highs, potentially reaching the $4,000 mark.
The present price motion indicates a solid demand foundation above $3,000, and if ETH can maintain this level, it could trigger a bullish surge. Nevertheless, failure to carry above the 200-day moving average may lead to a retest of lower support levels, equivalent to $2,900 and even $2,500.
As of now, ETH stays poised for a possible move higher, and traders are watching closely for confirmation of a breakout to recent highs.
Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView