By Tom Westbrook and Samuel Shen
SINGAPORE (Reuters) – Asia and even China are shaping up as surprisingly resilient investment markets as Donald Trump returns to the White House, with fund managers optimistic the region can withstand tariffs higher than Europe.
Investors say Asia’s exporters and provide chains have been capable of higher weather trade tensions, that China is able to bolster its domestic demand and that India’s rapid growth is attractive.
Equity desks within the region’s financial centres reported little panic as voters ushered Trump back into office on a platform of tax cuts and protectionism – a contrast to sharp declines in European auto and renewable stocks.
“We saw gradual buying proceed to select up,” said Shinji Ogawa, co-head of Japan money equities sales at J.P. Morgan in Tokyo of trade on Thursday, with investors selecting industrials and financials.
“There are a couple of narratives that do not necessarily allow the ‘Trump trade’ to dictate all the things,” he said, declaring rate rises on the horizon in Japan and a policy meeting in China this week expected to approve measures to spice up the economy.
To be certain, the investment playbook derived from Trump’s first term has been to purchase U.S. stocks and their performance has drawn money out of Hong Kong and in to the S&P 500, dealers said.
But those with global mandates or wishing to diversify are sticking with the Asia bets they’ve, following a little bit of a drawdown – mostly out of India – through October.
“With this environment where cost of dollar capital is unlikely to fall that much…you then’re prone to see rather a lot more preference for growth,” said Ken Peng, head of Asia investment strategy at Citi Wealth in Hong Kong.
“So India goes to proceed to try this.”
A bounce in Japanese automaker stocks and a surge in banks and shares of heavy machinery firms, sensitive to capital expenditure, showed buyers’ focus there.
In Vietnam, shares in industrial park owner Becamex leapt in anticipation of firms expanding manufacturing while developer Kinh Bac City, which has a golf and hotel project with Trump’s private conglomerate, hit its upward trading limit.
BETTER PREPARED
In Trump’s first term, China bore the brunt of his aggressive trade policy, and growth and the yuan took successful. This time around, investors think they know slightly more about what to anticipate from Trump and say China is healthier prepared.
“China is now higher prepared for any curbs, whether technologically, militarily, or financially,” said Charles Wang, chairman of Shenzhen Dragon Pacific Capital Management Co.