Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq rise as Wall Street braces for election results

US stocks closed Tuesday’s trading session in a sea of green as Americans flocked to the polls on Election Day to determine whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump will change into the following president.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) led the gains, rising about 1.4% to secure its best day since early October. The benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC) moved up roughly 1.2%, with the index nabbing its best session since Sept. 19. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) jumped 1%, or greater than 400 points, as stocks rebounded from a losing day.

Americans are heading to the polls with Harris and Trump running neck-and-neck after an intensely contested presidential race. Investors are buckling in for market volatility, because the final result may not change into clear for days, and even weeks, if the result’s disputed.

Read more: The Yahoo Finance guide to the presidential election and what it means to your wallet

Given the huge difference within the candidates’ stances on the economy, a protracted wait for a declared winner could inject more uncertainty into markets. But historically, while the dearth of a transparent victory has brought turbulence within the short term, it has rarely halted the long-term trend for gains.

The dollar (DX-Y.NB) retreated further on Tuesday as traders dialed back bets on a Trump win.

Meanwhile, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury (^TNX) dropped 2 basis points to hover around 4.29%. It had moved as high as 4.36% earlier within the session before retreating by late afternoon.

Also dead ahead is the November policy decision from the Federal Reserve, which also has a lot at stake on Election Day. Chair Jerome Powell is overwhelmingly expected to usher in a 25 basis point rate cut at the tip of the two-day meeting on Thursday.

In corporates, the bitter seven-week strike at Boeing (BA) has ended after factory employees voted for a recent contract offering a 38% pay hike. The plane maker’s shares still nearly 3% after initially opening the day higher.

LIVE 14 updates

  • Super Micro stock slides 10% on weaker-than-expected Q2 outlook

    Super Micro Computer (SMCI) stock fell about 10% in after-hours trading after the corporate missed Wall Street’s estimates for each earnings and sales in the present quarter.

    Super Micro said it expects second quarter adjusted earnings per share of $0.56 to $0.65, below analysts estimates of $0.80. Meanwhile, Super Micro’s forecast for net sales in a variety of $5.5 billion to $6.1 billion was weaker than the $6.79 billion on Wall Street had hoped for.

    The earnings were released lower than every week after accounting firm Ernst & Young resigned as Super Micro’s auditor. EY said in a filing it was “unwilling to be related to the financial statements prepared by management.”

    Super Micro responded to those accusations on Tuesday with a response from an independent “Special Committee” that had been investigating the accusations.

    “Following a three-month investigation led by Independent Counsel, the Committee’s investigation thus far has found that the Audit Committee has acted independently and that there is no such thing as a evidence of fraud or misconduct on the a part of management or the Board of Directors,” the discharge said. “The Committee is recommending a series of remedial measures for the Company to strengthen its internal governance and oversight functions, and the Committee expects to deliver the complete report on the finished work this week or next.”

    Moreover, Super Micro still hasn’t filed its 10-K annual filing, which it initially pushed back on Aug. 29. The corporate said it “stays unable right now to predict when the Form 10-K might be filed.”

  • Alexandra Canal

    Nasdaq leads stocks higher on Election Day

    US stocks closed firmly within the green on Tuesday as investors flocked to the polls to determine who will change into the following president: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democratic candidate Kamala Harris.

    The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) led the gains, rising about 1.4%, while the benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC) moved up roughly 1.2%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) jumped 1%, or greater than 400 points, as stocks rebounded from a losing day.

  •  Josh Schafer

    A powerful election 12 months thus far stocks

    The S&P 500 is up slightly greater than 1% as Americans and anxiously await results on the 2024 presidential race.

    The rally Tuesday furthered a trend that is been seen for a lot of the 12 months in the foremost indexes. Through October, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) had risen about 20%, good for its best gains in the primary 10 months of an election 12 months through not less than 1950.

    Strategists have warned that this up-and-to-the-right rally could possibly be tested should the election not be decided quickly.

    But once an final result is understood, markets typically rally. The S&P 500 has been higher the month after the election in 6 of the past 10 cycles, per research from Carson Group chief markets strategist Ryan Detrick. Over the following three months, the S&P 500 was higher 8 of 10 times.

    “We could see a jolt of volatility and a knee-jerk response once there’s more clarity on the election final result or if the election results take longer to be known,” Truist co-chief investment officer Keith Lerner wrote in a note to clients on Monday. “Regardless, our view is investors should proceed to deal with the first trend and check out to filter out the short-term noise.”

  • Alexandra Canal

    DJT halted for volatility, stock erases gains

    Trump Media & Technology Group stock (DJT) was halted for volatility in late afternoon trading on Tuesday as investors brace for more wild swings with Election Day underway within the US.

    Shares quickly erased 15% gains and reversed Monday’s double-digit percentage rise to kick off the week.

    The stock suffered its largest percentage decline last week and closed down around 20% to finish the five-day period on Friday, which shaved off around $4 billion from its market cap.

    Shares have still greater than doubled from their September lows.

    Trump maintains a roughly 60% interest in DJT. At current levels of around $34 a share, Trump Media boasts a market cap of about $6.9 billion, giving the previous president a stake value around $4.1 billion.

  • Alexandra Canal

    Boeing shares retreat after union deal but resolution still ‘step in the fitting direction’

    Boeing (BA) shares retreated from modest gains in late afternoon trading on Tuesday after the corporate struck a take care of its machinists union Monday evening. 59% of the group voted to approve the deal and end the nearly two-month-long strike, which cost the corporate billions.

    While the union didn’t get the restoration of pensions it fought for, employees will receive a 38% wage increase over the following 4 years, a $12,000 money bonus to hourly employees, and a lift in contributions to retirement savings plans.

    Analysts said the resolution of the strike should set the stage for a Boeing recovery. The stock has declined roughly 40% for the reason that start of the 12 months.

    “Boeing CEO, Kelly Ortberg, added one other check to the ‘Boeing Turnaround’ list,” Bank of America analysts wrote in a note to clients on Tuesday, although the group warned that any kind of recovery won’t occur overnight.

    “While the strike ending and employees returning to the shopfloor is a meaningful step in the fitting direction, ramping [production] back up will take time.”

    Read more here.

  • Alexandra Canal

    Trump’s last-minute guarantees

    Yahoo Finance’s Ben Werschkul reports:

    Recent economic policy guarantees typically aren’t rolled out through the final weeks of a presidential campaign. But that is yet one more norm Donald Trump and his allies have been upending in recent days.

    The pledges have been coming fast and furious, including one last escalation of Trump’s tariff guarantees on the ultimate day of campaigning, with the previous president pledging to impose recent blanket tariffs on Mexico.

    “You are the first ones I’ve told it to,” Trump told a crowd in Raleigh, N.C., on the last full day of campaigning Monday. “Congratulations, North Carolina.”

    It is a pledge that got here alongside recent discussions from Trump and his allies of dramatically changing course on a signature Biden-era semiconductor bill that has catalyzed over $400 billion in semiconductor sector investments. There has even been renewed talk of repealing the Reasonably priced Care Act.

    Whether all of this helps Trump’s likelihood in a toss-up contest stays to be seen, nevertheless it’s one more factor for last-minute voters to contemplate because the 2024 contest reaches its end.

    Read more here.

  • Laura Bratton

    Midday movers: Nvidia, Tesla, Astera Labs, Apollo rise; Cleveland Cliffs plunges

    Along with Palantir (PLTR) and Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT), a few of Tuesday’s key stock movers included newly public AI hardware firm Astera Labs (ALAB), Tesla (TSLA), Nvidia (NVDA), and other AI chip stocks.

    Shares of Nvidia jumped 2.5% midday, while its manufacturer, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), rose 2.9%.

    Chip stocks, including Intel (INTC), Broadcom (AVGO), and Qualcomm (QCOM), also rose amid further evidence of strong AI data center demand evidenced by Astera Labs’ sunny third quarter earnings Monday. Astera Labs itself was a top gainer Tuesday, rising roughly 30%.

    Meanwhile, Tesla shares rose 4% because the US presidential election final result loomed.

    Analysts’ takes were mixed on how Tesla would fare under either candidate — with some seeing the corporate benefiting from a Trump presidency while others say the EV industry would suffer under Trump. Its CEO, Elon Musk, has been one in all Trump’s key surrogates in the ultimate months of the campaign.

    Asset manager Apollo Global Management (APO) jumped 6% after quarterly earnings showed its assets reached $733 billion. (Disclosure: Yahoo Finance is owned by Apollo Global Management.)

    On the opposite side of the spectrum, Tuesday’s major losers were mining giant Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) — which saw shares fall greater than 7% after an earnings miss partially as a consequence of its exposure to the auto industry — and drugmaker AstraZeneca (AZN) — which is attempting to interrupt into the huge weight-loss drug market. Its stock fell as much as 7% in response.

  • Alexandra Canal

    Pulse check on sector motion; Trump, Harris trades

    Consumer Discretionary (XLY) and Tech (XLK) led Tuesday’s sector motion, with stocks moving higher across the board as Election Day gets underway.

    The so-called Trump and Harris trades also saw some movement.

    The ten-year Treasury yield (^TNX) moved about 5 basis points higher to trade around 4.35%. Yields are largely expected to stay elevated under a Trump administration for the reason that former president’s tariff policy would likely result in higher inflation over time.

    Bitcoin (BTC-USD), which Trump has outwardly supported, saw prices rise around 4% to trade near $70,300 a token. Prices have been lumpy in recent days, nevertheless, as Kamala Harris’s odds improved over the weekend.

    On condition that recent movement, Utilities (XLU) have dropped around 2% over the past five days. Utilities typically fall on higher yields, so if the belief is that a Harris presidency can be less inflationary in comparison with Trump, that will result in a drop in yields and, due to this fact, the Utilities sector at large.

  • Laura Bratton

    Palantir stock soars as Department of Defense spending fuels earnings

    Palantir (PLTR) stock surged 22% after the corporate’s third quarter earnings surpassed Wall Street’s expectations as a consequence of a spike in spending from the US Department of Defense on its artificial intelligence tech.

    Palantir’s chief revenue and legal officer, Ryan Taylor, said the corporate’s US government business saw its “strongest sequential growth in 15 quarters driven largely by our DoD [Department of Defense] business’s 21% quarter-over-quarter growth.”

    Global government spending on Palantir’s products, primarily from the US, rose 40% from the prior 12 months to $408 million within the third quarter, accounting for 56% of the corporate’s total revenue for the period. This was ahead of the $379 million expected for the segment, in accordance with Bloomberg consensus estimates.

    Overall, the corporate reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.10 for the quarter, a penny ahead of expectations, on revenue of $725.5 million, which topped the $703.7 million expected by Wall Street analysts.

    Read the complete story here.

  • Alexandra Canal

    DJT rises by double digits as Election Day kicks off

    Trump Media & Technology Group stock (DJT) climbed greater than 10% higher in early trading on Tuesday, extending its double-digit rise to kick off the week as shares brace for more volatility with Election Day underway within the US.

    The stock suffered its largest percentage decline last week and closed down around 20% to finish the five-day period on Friday, which shaved off around $4 billion from its market cap. Shares have still greater than doubled from their September lows.

    The stock’s recovery comes as investors await the election of the following president: Donald Trump or Kamala Harris.

    Prior to the recent volatility, shares in the corporate, the house of the Republican nominee’s social media platform Truth Social, had been on a gradual rise as each domestic and overseas betting markets shifted in favor of a Trump victory.

    Prediction sites like Polymarket, PredictIt, and Kalshi all showed Trump’s presidential possibilities ahead of those of Democratic nominee and current Vice President Kamala Harris. That lead, nevertheless, narrowed significantly over the weekend as recent polling showed Harris surpassing Trump in Iowa, which has historically voted Republican.

    And as betting markets tighten, national polls show each candidates in a virtually deadlocked race. Polls in key battleground states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, that are likely to determine the fate of the election, also show razor-thin margins.

  • Ben Werschkul

    Betting markets, election models point to an in depth race as voters solid ballots

    Here’s what the betting markets and election forecasters are saying because the 2024 campaign involves an end.

    Political betting app Kalshi recently became the primary place where Americans could legally wager on the 2024 election — and the bets have flooded in.

    Heading into Election Day, the location put Trump’s odds at 57% which was akin to “a really barely biased coin flip,” Kalshi co-founder Tarek Mansour said in a Yahoo Finance appearance Monday

    A compilation of other betting markets from RealClearPolling, spanning other popular sites open to overseas betters from Polymaket to Smarkets, has the chances of a Trump win at 59.2% to 39.3%. Those odds mean that Harris would win almost 4 contests if the election were run 10 times.

    As for the polling-based election models, they projected a tighter race.

    Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin model ran its last update at 12:00 a.m. ET on Nov. 5 and located an almost exact tie in electoral college probability with Harris winning 50% of the time to 49.6% for Trump.

    Silver’s final run featured 80,000 simulations with Harris winning in 40,012 of them, he wrote.

    The 538.com election model was one other toss-up. It found Harris winning 50 out of 100 simulations. Trump won 49 times out of 100 with a lower than 1-in-100 likelihood of no Electoral College winner.

    The ultimate evaluation from the Economist magazine found a slight Harris edge with the vice President winning 56 out of 100 hypothetical contests.

  • Alexandra Canal

    Stocks open higher on Election Day

    US stocks opened mostly higher on Tuesday as Election Day got underway. Markets are in wait-and-see mode in terms of who will find yourself within the White House: Kamala Harris or Donald Trump.

    The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) led the gains, up 0.5%, while the benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC) moved up roughly 0.3%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) opened just above the flatline on the heels of a losing day for stocks.

  • Jenny McCall

    Good morning. Here’s what’s happening today.

  • Brian Sozzi

    A superb reminder for investors on Election Day

    Election Day has arrived.

    And with it, all the standard banter about outcomes for the country, world, and markets. Amid the heavy news flow, Truist co-chief investment officer Keith Lerner (who might be on the Opening Bid podcast tomorrow at 8 a.m. ET together with his post-election evaluation) dropped the helpful chart below.

    I believe it offers a very good reminder that, irrespective of the final result of the presidential election, it has paid dividends to be an investor in stocks over time.

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